Executives in China’s technology sector express that a potential victory for Donald Trump in the upcoming U.S. presidential election would create greater uncertainty for their industry compared to a win for Kamala Harris. Trump’s history of initiating trade wars and imposing bans on high-tech exports to China has made his approach particularly unpredictable. While some see his possible return as a threat that could exacerbate sanctions on Chinese semiconductor firms, others speculate it might lead to a less coordinated and more chaotic environment that could benefit China by disrupting U.S. alliances.
In contrast, Harris is viewed as a more predictable choice, likely to continue the Biden administration’s policies that involve gradual and systematic changes to export controls. Despite the uncertainty surrounding the election, analysts note that China’s tech industry has become more self-sufficient over the years, reducing its reliance on foreign technology. The sector is now better equipped to handle any shifts in trade relations, regardless of the election outcome.
Moreover, while both candidates are expected to introduce fresh restrictions on China’s technological advances, many in the industry believe that even under increased export controls, Chinese firms have grown resilient and adaptable. This perspective reflects a broader sentiment in the tech community that, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, they must continue advancing rapidly in their domestic capabilities
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